Prime Minister David Cameron is busy meeting European leaders to garner support for his reform agenda to keep Britain in the EU fold. But his party is divided. The electorate too….writes Kanwal Toor
Time is ticking and we are heading towards “a rather crucial decision” – IN or OUT! It will be a complex affair. To understand the consequences of a Brexit or if we decide to stay in a Reformed EU, we need to have done extensive research. In my opinion what matters most – is WE. The people should make an INFORMED DECISION.
Remember there is no looking back. In June 2016 if we decide to exit the EU, we cannot go back on our decision – because if we do, surely the EU leaders will have stricter rules for a re-entry. On the other hand if we decide to stay as part of the union, we might not ever know the real potential of how better off we would have been post a Brexit!! Quite a muddle! I spoke to a few “important “people and this is what they had to say.
Chairman Northern Ireland Party Board
If I had to vote today I would probably vote “out” but I feel that I am duty bound to see what the PM negotiates before making a final decision. I am totally against a federal super state, I believe passionately in our sovereign parliament and in free trade, The EU started as EFTA but has been coerced by Germany into federalism, not for me.
In Northern Ireland the biggest Party (DUP) say they will vote no but they can never be trusted and can turn at the 59th minute of the 11th hour. The UUP as usual will sit on the fence, they wouldn’t sign up to the Stormont House agreement and latterly to the New Start agreement, whilst these two Unionist Parties continually play the game that they support the Conservatives, they in fact are more often doing that to see what financial gifts they can get. On the National (SDLP) and Republican (Sinn Fein) side they will as socialists and Marxist vote to stay in. The population overall will probably return a ‘yes ‘ vote as we are mainly an agricultural province and the business fraternity also would be yes. The ordinary working people would be a ‘ no’ Therefore in a gross population of 1’78 mill and a turnout of probably only 30% The figures would not have a great impact of the total UK vote
Brexit benefits for the UK over the medium term are not significant, but I will argue that a British exit from the single market would politically cripple EU which any way is at best already a fractured political Union. EU needs to accommodate and address certain genuine concerns of UK. I will argue that ‘Brexit’ will rather be counterproductive to the UK’s EU trading partners.
The impact on the European economies will be very adverse. It is a ‘mutual assured destruction’ for both if the Europeans don’t yield. Regrettably the truth is ‘ it is a lose-lose for both parties. ‘ Council of European Employers of the Metal, Engineering and Technology-based industries (CEEMET), British industry projects that they would suffer a drop in output of 0.5 per cent each year if voters back Brexit, with medium-sized manufacturers to be among the hardest-hit. The real issue is future of London maintaining its prime spot as Vatican of the global financial markets sharing the burden with NY. As far as City of London is concerned Brexit would not lead to a major loss, The City suffers far more from the latent ‘envy of Frankfurt and Paris’ – two of them keep churning regrettably regulatory impediments through the EU mandarins offices to make London fiscally unattractive for high powered bankers .
A kind of brain drain to tax haven regions will directly hit City and no one else. The upside of Brexit is that a City of London free fron tough regulatory ’employment reward’ milieu of EU will suck every financial business out of Frankfurt and Paris. Honestly it all boils down to the last point on PM wish list; Eurozone v the rests. Greater London generates a quarter of the total national tax-intake that year and more than twice the amount generated in all the Northern cities combine. There should be no provision allowed of any power of new restrictive EU legislation diluting the financial reach and Prowess City of London. The City should keep attracting the best in the world and allowed to remain competitively placed amongst the top market in terms of global financial transactions. In Greater London in 2013-14 in “economy taxes” like income tax or VAT £126bn was generated. That is our jugular and no compromise on this point. Otherwise Exit.. Let the City remain the insurance, banking and trade capital of the world. That confidence has been earned over a millennium, don’t lose it now.
Pravin G Patel, Industrialist
In my humble opinion and having been in business since 1971, I can certainly share the CBI and most business leader’s view that Britain needs to stay in EU. Our Economy is strong and a great deal of business is centred in Europe. So from Economic point of view certainly we must remain in EU. At the same time PM Cameron must ensure that we are not taken for a Euro ride – immigration, refugees, benefits and the like. Whilst generosity of UK is talk of the town (hence a huge wave of immigrants seeking to come here), it must be remembered that UK coffers are limited. We, UK, are in debt to the tune of £1.4 Trillion – Mortgages, credit card borrowing etc – so one needs to limit the free loading generations. Economically EU membership is a must. So form me VOTE YES to EU.
Former Parliamentary Candidate, London Assembly Candidate – Conservative Party
Prime Minister David Cameron has been working very hard to negotiate real reform of our relationship with Europe. The draft agreement published by European Council President Tusk delivers the substantial changes that we set out to negotiate to secure our sovereignty, our competitiveness, control immigration from Europe and never be part of a European super state. Of course, there is still detail to be worked on but we have made real progress. The British people will decide whether we are stronger in or out, thanks to a promise made by the Conservatives to deliver an in-out EU referendum.”
Atiq Malik, Member – Conservative Party
EU is now United States of Europe. I want UK to leave EU. Our parliament must be sovereign while being member of EU, EU parliament and EU court of human rights overrules our parliament and courts.
Director – Conservative Friends of Pakistan,
Former Parliamentary Candidate, Manchester
My opinion is the same as the Prime minister, in that I believe our future is in EU but with a new negotiated package outlining the future. The EU has many good points but it also imposes rules and regulations upon us which are against the national interest for us.
Kanwal Toor is Founder/Chair – CWC (Collective for Women & Children), Mother, Social Activist.