Mr Modi is going to realise that all his ducks are not in a row and this communal colouring will fade away… thankfully. It has to. Religion does not work as a campaign issue. And Indians don’t like to be made afraid. We will hopefully have a Prime Minister who is human again and not invincible….writes Bikram Vohra
The trouble with Grand Alliances is that when the hurly burly is done and the garlands dead it is as strong as its weakest link and not that grand. The BJP is an entity and has not lost ground. It is the single largest party and no less than it was in 2014. The JDU is a bunch of sticks tied together sans common ideology who were nowhere near the BJP numbers and now we can project two scenarios in the fallout.
That’s how it flowed at the start and then the tide went out on the BJP and it is dropping to bronze position.
In the first, Mr Modi is going to realise that all his ducks are not in a row and this communal colouring will fade away… thankfully. It has to. Religion does not work as a campaign issue. And Indians don’t like to be made afraid. We will hopefully have a Prime Minister who is human again and not invincible.
That will be good for the country at large and Modi will be compelled to get rid of the deadwood, the noisy wood and drop the loony fringe which has been given far too much rope. He will also have to listen to the relative voices of sanity that have been muted courtesy the adulation showered on Modi… he can now lead from the front without being the icon.
Five days from now he will be in the UK basking in the sun of hero worship. That display will now not sit well with the country. Forget all the NRI stuff and come home.
That way it is a healthy defeat. The attention given to beef politics, communalism, Hindutva and the personal assaults by goon squads should reduce dramatically.
Think of it this way. If the BJP had won the future could have been arrogantly bleak and this kick in the butt was needed. Now, we can have a real Modi and a marriage between the people and the government not a rape of our secularism. Also, he will no longer keep silent when his frontline makes stupid remarks… on the contrary the gurus, yogis and the charlatans, the religious kooks and motor mouths like V.K. Singh and Mahesh Sharma will skulk away in the dark and should stay there.
So, while Modi and co might actually put their house in order, the Alliance has to test its mettle and the tensile strength might well depend on the Congress holding just enough seats to act as a self indulgent spoilt child, a conduct it has displayed frequently after being booted out of power.
Are we going to see the sticks spill apart and Lalu Yadav flex muscle and turn the result into a farce as the disparate elements jockey for power. Certainly, Nitish Kumar is the ‘undisputed’ leader for now but he is in bed with Lalu and the cat at the feet is a Gandhi led Congress which has wheedled its way back into having a say. This trinity in the aftermath does not inspire confidence and tawdry scenes of politicking and infighting are pretty much on the cards.
One cannot see Lalu being silent and letting the power bus go past without wresting the wheel. Equally, the Congress is hardly likely to take a back seat and its shrilly triumphant interpretation of its dozen seats.
In the coming weeks this ball of wool may well unravel and Modi will exploit that to great advantage. Why do I feel that Modi will have the last laugh? In this defeat there is the seed of a victory for the country.