February 1, 2025
3 mins read

Rubio in Panama: US Shifts Focus to Its Own Backyard

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio embarks on a high-stakes visit to Central America, aiming to push the Trump administration’s regional agenda. Key discussions include the Panama Canal, countering China, and migration agreements.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio arrived in Panama on Saturday for his first overseas visit since assuming office, marking the beginning of a tour aimed at strengthening ties with Central America. His itinerary includes stops in El Salvador, Costa Rica, Guatemala, and the Dominican Republic, a trip designed to reinforce the Trump administration’s emphasis on prioritising its regional influence.

Rubio’s visit, according to CNN, underscores Washington’s renewed focus on its immediate neighbourhood. With an eye on expanding diplomatic and economic cooperation, the trip signals a push to counter China’s growing footprint in the region while also addressing issues such as migration and security.

Panama Canal and China: Key Agenda Points

One of the central topics of Rubio’s visit is the Panama Canal, a crucial global trade artery. The US has long viewed the canal as a strategic asset, and concerns over Chinese investments and influence in Panama’s logistics and infrastructure have heightened Washington’s attention. Rubio is expected to discuss ways to safeguard US interests and maintain a strong partnership with Panama amid Beijing’s expanding presence.

In addition to economic concerns, the trip also serves as a platform to reinforce the US stance on countering China’s influence across Latin America. Washington has been wary of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) investments in key regional infrastructure, and Rubio is likely to stress the importance of economic alternatives backed by the US.

Migration, Security, and the El Salvador Test

A major test of the Trump administration’s strategy will be its engagement with El Salvador, particularly in the realm of migration policy. The US is reportedly in discussions to revive an asylum agreement that would require asylum seekers who are not Salvadoran to seek protection in El Salvador rather than in the United States.

During the first Trump administration, El Salvador was one of three countries to sign a Safe Third Country Agreement with the US. Rubio’s visit will likely explore reinstating and expanding similar arrangements, including discussions on handling members of the notorious Venezuelan criminal organisation, Tren de Aragua.

Mauricio Claver-Carone, Trump’s former special envoy for Latin America, highlighted the significance of the discussions with El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele. “Bukele’s extraordinary measures on security have made him one of the most consequential leaders in the region,” Claver-Carone told CNN. “We’re looking to do a new agreement that might include the members of the Tren de Aragua, who may prefer returning to Venezuela rather than being imprisoned alongside MS-13 in El Salvador.”

Foreign Aid Freeze Complicates US Efforts

Despite the ambitious diplomatic push, Rubio’s trip comes at a time when the Trump administration’s sweeping freeze on foreign assistance has raised concerns among aid officials and even some US policymakers. The restrictions have hindered key development and security initiatives, making it unclear how the administration intends to support its regional allies while simultaneously tightening its purse strings.

Critics argue that prioritising hardline immigration and security policies without adequate investment in economic development and governance could backfire, potentially weakening the US’s influence in the region. As the visit unfolds, how Rubio navigates these contradictions will be closely watched.

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