September 21, 2025
3 mins read

UK: Boats keep coming despite deportations

Record 1,072 migrants cross Channel in one day, as UK begins France return deal with first deportations, sparking fierce political debate over deterrent effect.

More than 1,000 people crossed the English Channel in small boats on Friday, piling fresh pressure on the government’s new migrant return deal with France.

The Home Office confirmed that 1,072 people made the journey in 13 boats, the third time this year that daily arrivals have exceeded the 1,000 mark. The surge came on a day of calm seas and late-summer sunshine, a weather window frequently exploited by people smugglers organising crossings.

This brings the total number of arrivals in 2025 to 32,103 — the highest figure ever recorded by this stage of the year, and well ahead of 2024’s tally.

Returns Begin Under New Treaty
The surge coincided with the first deportations carried out under the UK-France returns agreement, which allows Britain to send back asylum seekers intercepted in the Channel. On Thursday, an Indian man was the first to be returned to France. On Friday, he was followed by two more: an Eritrean man and an Iranian man. The deportations required legal clearance, with ministers successfully defending a challenge to the return of the Eritrean national.

The treaty, signed earlier this year, enables the UK to detain anyone who enters via small boats and, in coordination with French authorities, send them back within around two weeks. The agreement is reciprocal, meaning that for each migrant returned, Britain will accept an asylum seeker from France with a stronger claim for protection.

Ministers describe the scheme as a “one-in, one-out” plan, designed to dissuade people from making the dangerous crossing. Deputy Prime Minister David Lammy hailed the first removals as evidence of “an immediate deterrent” and a signal of government resolve.

Scepticism Over Deterrent Effect
Critics, however, remain unconvinced. Conservative shadow home secretary Chris Philp dismissed the returns as inadequate, calling the numbers “pathetic” and arguing the scheme would have “no deterrent effect whatsoever.”

With only three individuals returned so far, opponents say the government is overstating the impact of the new system. Migration experts also note that the volume of crossings on Friday dwarfed the numbers sent back, underlining the scale of the challenge.

Even officials acknowledge that the plan will not, by itself, stop crossings altogether. A Home Office spokesperson said the scheme was in its early stages and numbers would increase in the months ahead as operational capacity expanded.

Patterns of Crossings
Friday’s record coincided with a break in bad weather, following more than a week in which no small boats attempted the journey. Migrant crossings tend to spike after prolonged periods of high winds or rough seas, when smugglers regroup and wait for calmer conditions.

The last major surge came just two weeks earlier, on 6 September, when 1,101 people crossed in one day. In both cases, the sudden influx was linked to a backlog of attempts held up by poor weather.

Reciprocal Arrivals Expected
Under the reciprocal side of the treaty, the first asylum seekers approved for resettlement in the UK from France are expected to arrive next week. Ministers say this will demonstrate the humanitarian balance of the deal, ensuring Britain continues to provide refuge for those with legitimate claims while deterring irregular entry.

But the optics remain challenging for the government. With crossings breaking records even as the first returns are carried out, the administration faces mounting questions over whether its strategy can match the scale and urgency of the problem.

Political Stakes
The Channel crossings remain one of the most politically charged issues in Britain. Successive governments have pledged to “stop the boats,” but despite tougher enforcement and cooperation with France, the numbers have continued to rise.

For the current government, the new returns treaty is a centrepiece of its approach. Yet the early data shows the challenge of implementing a system that both deters irregular migration and withstands legal and political scrutiny.

As the first group of asylum seekers prepares to arrive from France, the government is determined to frame the agreement as a turning point. For critics, however, Friday’s record numbers underscore that the battle over Britain’s borders is far from won.

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